The much-anticipated “Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” is poised to make a grand entrance into theatres this weekend, with projections estimating a $50 million opening. “Snow lands on top,” chants Coriolanus Snow, the protagonist of the prequel and the future authoritarian ruler of Panem, embodying Lionsgate’s high hopes for the film’s success. Based on Suzanne Collins’ 2020 novel, this standalone story takes us 60 years back, long before Katniss Everdeen’s saga began. With box office analysts predicting an opening between $42 million and $55 million, the film could match or surpass the unexpectedly modest debut of “The Marvels” from Disney and Marvel Studios, which collected a lower-than-anticipated $46.1 million.
The film promises to harness the “certain magic” of the Hunger Games franchise, as stated by Paul Dergarabedian, a senior media analyst at Comscore. Although “Ballad” is expected to open lower than its four precursors, each surpassing $100 million in their debut, the forecasted figures are seen positively amidst recent Hollywood strikes and changing consumer habits. Shawn Robbins, chief analyst at BoxOffice.com, highlights the challenges of marketing prequels to a broader audience and the curiosity of whether the new installment will attract today’s young female demographic. Critics have given “Ballad” a 61% score on Rotten Tomatoes, praising its cast and storyline while noting its pacing issues.
“The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” arrives at a critical juncture for Lionsgate, coinciding with its separation from Starz and following its acquisition of Entertainment One. With no further Hunger Games installments promised unless Suzanne Collins pens another novel, this film carries the legacy of its predecessors into a new era. As Robbins summarizes, this release sets the stage for a pivotal season for theatres and studios, navigating through the impact of industry strikes and release delays, and could signal a reviving trend in the box office landscape.